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verdere daling Lithium prijs

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  1. forum rang 6 T. Edison 17 juli 2024 06:56

    • T. Edison

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    quote:

    Aandachtige lezer schreef op 16 juli 2024 23:32:

    Ook lithium weer de goede kant op: www.grondstofprijs.com/lithium-prijs/.
    Op vanadium en lithium mag de koers van mij best wel even de goede kant op bewegen.
    thnx voor het volgen van de prijs.
    De koers van AMG lijkt idd de grafiek van de lithiumprijs te volgen.
    Zou mooi zijn als er een, desnoods kleine, uitvbraak komt.
  6. Bio-marker 19 juli 2024 18:29

    • Bio-marker

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    Here is an overview of the prospects for lithium prices:

    Current Situation:
    Lithium prices have experienced a significant decline since reaching record highs in 2022. As of mid-2024, prices have fallen to around $13,000-15,000 per tonne, representing a drop of over 75% from peak levels[1][6]. This decline is primarily attributed to an oversupply situation and softening demand, particularly in the Chinese electric vehicle (EV) market[1].

    Short-term Outlook (2024-2025):
    Most analysts expect lithium prices to remain relatively low in the short term:

    1. Goldman Sachs forecasts lithium carbonate prices to average $11,106 per tonne in 2024 and $11,000 per tonne in 2025[7].

    2. S&P Global projects larger market surpluses for lithium in 2024, with forecasts of 38,000 metric tons of lithium carbonate equivalent (LCE) oversupply[6].

    3. Some analysts, like Shaun Cartwright from Anandara Asset Management, believe lithium prices could rebound sharply in 2024, though this view is less common[3].

    Medium-term Outlook (2026-2027):
    There are expectations of a gradual price recovery:

    1. Goldman Sachs predicts lithium carbonate prices to rise to $13,323 per tonne in 2026 and $15,646 per tonne in 2027[7].

    2. S&P Global suggests that lithium prices may start to stabilize beginning in 2025 as the surplus narrows down, with prices potentially rising thereafter[1].

    Long-term Outlook:
    Despite current challenges, the long-term prospects for lithium demand remain strong:

    1. Global demand for lithium is projected to surpass 2.4 million metric tons of lithium carbonate by 2030, doubling the forecast for 2025[3].

    2. BloombergNEF expects global lithium demand to grow nearly five times by the end of the decade[3].

    3. The commitment to global net-zero emissions by 2050 is expected to drive continued demand for lithium, fueled by growing EV adoption and global decarbonization efforts[1].

    Factors Influencing Future Prices:
    Several factors will impact lithium prices going forward:

    1. EV adoption rates and battery demand growth[5].
    2. Supply expansions and potential mine closures or project delays[6].
    3. Technological advancements in battery chemistry and manufacturing[8].
    4. Geopolitical developments and regulatory changes[5].
    5. Macroeconomic conditions affecting overall demand[1].

    In conclusion, while lithium prices are expected to remain subdued in the short term, there is potential for gradual recovery in the medium term. The long-term outlook remains positive due to projected growth in EV adoption and energy storage applications, though prices may continue to experience volatility as the market balances supply and demand dynamics.

    Sources
    [1] Why Lithium Prices are Plunging and What to Expect • Carbon Credits carboncredits.com/why-lithium-prices-...
    [2] Latest lithium views from 3 major brokers: Price forecasts & ASX lithium stock picks www.marketindex.com.au/news/latest-li...
    [3] Macro Intelligence: lithium and navigating the ups and downs for potential rebound in 2024 www.ig.com/en-ch/news-and-trade-ideas...
    [4] Lithium Price Forecast 2024, 2025 & Beyond - Techopedia www.techopedia.com/investing/lithium-...
    [5] Facts and Figures: Understanding the Lithium Price Dynamics news.metal.com/newscontent/102766976/...
    [6] Lithium Prices Fall to 35-Month Low Amid Surging EV Sales carboncredits.com/lithium-prices-plun...
    [7] Here's the latest lithium price forecast through to 2027 - Motley Fool www.fool.com.au/2024/04/22/heres-the-...
    [8] Trends in electric vehicle batteries – Global EV Outlook 2024 – Analysis www.iea.org/reports/global-ev-outlook...
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