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Black monday!

305 Posts
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  1. [verwijderd] 27 juni 2010 23:22

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    GLOBAL ECONOMY WEEKAHEAD-Fiscal cliff nears as stimulus dries up
    ‎
    Forexyard - Emily Kaiser - Chizu Nomiyama -
    "The issue has less to do with the risk of a double dip (recession) and more about the potential for recurring disappointment and lack of dynamism, ...
    www.forexyard.com/en/news/GLOBAL-ECON...
  4. [verwijderd] 28 juni 2010 08:46

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    Spread tussen Belgische en Duitse staatsobligaties opnieuw toegenomen
    28 juni 2010

    De spread tussen Belgische en Duitse staatsobligaties is afgelopen vrijdag opnieuw toegenomen. Hetzelfde geldt trouwens voor de spread tussen Italiaanse en Franse staatsobligaties met de bunds.
    Het toenemen van de spread heeft te maken met de bezorgheid dat de crisis rond de overheidstekorten opnieuw aan het toenemen is nu de economische opleving dreigt stil te vallen.

    De daling heeft bovendien te maken met speculatie dat de banken een deel van de staatsobligaties die ze kochten tijdens het noodfinancieringsprogramma van de Europese Centrale Bank. Dat programma loopt op 1 juli af.

    Kornelius Purps, fixed-income strateeg bij UniCredit Spa, spreekt van een “supply shock” omdat de banken overwegen hun obligaties in portefeuille te verkopen om de ECB terug te betalen. De trend zou zich deze week kunnen verder zetten.

    Het rendement op de 10-jarige Belgische staatsobligatie steeg vrijdag met 7 basispunten tot 3,57%, waardoor de spread met de bunds opliep tot 97 basispunten. Dat is het hoogste niveau sinds 8 juni.
  5. [verwijderd] 28 juni 2010 08:53

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    Het vele negatieve, zegt me dat de zomerrally er aan zit te komen. Het is nog nooit anders geweest. Twee jaar gelden werd al voorspelt, het komt nooit meer goed. Vanmorgen weer in de file, door al die mensen die naar hun werk moeten.

  7. [verwijderd] 28 juni 2010 09:59

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    Golden State sinking even deeper into economic mire

    4:00 AM Monday Jun 28, 2010

    Californians don't see much evidence that the worst economic contraction since the Great Depression is coming to an end.

    Unemployment was 12.4 per cent in May, 2.7 percentage points higher than the national rate.

    Lawmakers gridlocked over how to close a US$19 billion ($26.5 billion) budget gap are weighing the termination of the main welfare programme for 1.3 million poor families or borrowing more than US$9 billion in the bond market.

    California, tied with Illinois for the lowest credit rating of any state, is diverting a rising portion of tax revenue to service debt.

    Far from rebounding, the Golden State, with a US$1.8 trillion economy that's larger than Russia's, is sinking deeper into its financial funk. And it's not alone.

    Even as the United States appears to be on the mend - gross domestic product has climbed for three straight quarters - finances in Arizona, Illinois, New Jersey, New York and other states show few signs of improvement.

    Forty-six states face budget shortfalls that add up to US$112 billion for the fiscal year ending next June, according to the Centre on Budget and Policy Priorities, a Washington research institution.

    State spending is 12 per cent of US GDP.

    "States are going to have to cut back spending and raise taxes the same way Greece and Spain are," says Dean Baker, co-director of the Centre for Economic and Policy Research in Washington. "That runs counter to stimulating the economy and will put a big damper on the recovery in the latter half of this year."

    State budget woes are a worsening drag on growth as the federal government tries to wean the economy from two years of extraordinary support.

    By January 1, funds from the US$787 billion federal stimulus bill will dry up.

    That money from Washington has helped cushion state budgets as tax revenue has plunged.

    State leaders won't be able to ride out this cycle the way they have in the past.

    The budget holes are too large. For the first time since 1962, sales and income tax revenue fell for five straight quarters, through December 2009, according to the Nelson A. Rockefeller Institute of Government at the State University of New York at Albany.

    Lawmakers need to overhaul tax policy, underfunded public pensions and entitlement spending programmes such as Medicaid if they want to establish long-term plans that will foster growth, says former New Jersey Governor Christine Todd Whitman.

    If they fail to act, state fiscal positions will steadily erode and hurt the US economy through to 2060.

    "States don't have a choice anymore," Whitman says.

    "These problems are going to require major surgery."

    Reform may get short shrift as Republicans and Democrats intensify their age-old fight over taxes and spending in this election year.

    On May 20, New Jersey Governor Chris Christie vetoed a Democratic bill that would have raised income taxes for residents earning at least US$1 million a year to help close an US$11 billion deficit. Christie, a Republican, wants to cut spending for school districts and cap property tax increases.

    "At some point, the people's ability to pay runs out," Christie said.

    The widening deficits have led to some unorthodox moves.

    In California, the state grabbed US$1.7 billion in redevelopment money from local governments in May. Riverside County, a Los Angeles suburb where the housing bust has left unemployment at more than 15 per cent, lost US$28 million that had been set aside to build fire stations, senior centres and other public works.

    The projects would have created 3000 jobs, says Tom Freeman, spokesman for the county's Economic Development Agency.

    The Government needed the county cash for schools, says Aaron McLear, spokesman for Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger.

    The episode demonstrates how the fiscal mess pits job creation against education in a zero-sum game, says Robert Hertzberg, a former Speaker.

    California is locked in a rigid system in which legislators need a two-thirds majority to raise taxes and yet must comply with voter-approved initiatives that mandate prison construction and other spending.

    There's little chance of any sweeping changes this year ahead of a gubernatorial race between Republican Meg Whitman, former chief executive officer of EBay, and Attorney-General Jerry Brown, a Democrat who was governor from 1975 to 1983.

    The winner will have to muster the political courage to take on core constituencies, whether anti-tax conservatives who support Whitman or labour unions that back Brown, says Steve Westly, a former politician.

    The risk is that California ends up like Greece, with no one trusting that it can get its financial house in order, says Westly, now a venture capitalist.

    "It has to be a combination of cuts and revenue increases," he says.

    Still, California isn't Greece. It's home to Silicon Valley, Hollywood and a US$27 billion agriculture industry.

    "It's unbelievable," says Bob Nichols, chief executive of Windward Capital Management, in Los Angeles.

    "How do you screw up a place with the growth capability of California? It's so dysfunctional."

    - BLOOMBERG
  14. [verwijderd] 11 juli 2010 14:24

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    Even as Market Jumps Higher, Investors Head For Exits

    www.cnbc.com/id/38168490

    Chinese credit firm says US worse risk than China

    BEIJING - A Chinese firm that aims to compete with Western rating agencies declared Washington a worse credit risk than Beijing in its first report on government debt Sunday amid efforts by China to boost its influence in global markets.

    Dagong International Credit Rating Co.'s verdict was a break with Moody's, Standard & Poors and Fitch, which say U.S. government debt is the world's safest. Dagong said it rated Washington below China and 11 other countries such as Switzerland and Australia due to high debt and slow growth. It warned the U.S. is among countries that might face rising borrowing costs and risks of default.

    more www.cnbc.com/id/38187668

  17. [verwijderd] 11 juli 2010 16:04

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    quote:

    Kethelbinkie schreef:

    [quote=straksa]
    [quote=Kethelbinkie]
    Hij komt als niemand hem verwacht.
    [/quote]
    Sinterklaas? Wie?
    [/quote]
    Waar gaat die draadje nou over?
    Sorry, ik hou nu eenmaal van duidelijke communicatie. I.e. niet 'hij' of 'het' maar noem je onderwerp:).
  18. [verwijderd] 11 juli 2010 17:28

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    quote:

    straksa schreef:

    [quote=Kethelbinkie]
    [quote=straksa]
    [quote=Kethelbinkie]
    Hij komt als niemand hem verwacht.
    [/quote]
    Sinterklaas? Wie?
    [/quote]
    Waar gaat die draadje nou over?
    [/quote]
    Sorry, ik hou nu eenmaal van duidelijke communicatie. I.e. niet 'hij' of 'het' maar noem je onderwerp:).
    Oké dan:
    Black Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday of Friday komt wanneer men er niet op rekent.

    Er komt een moment dat er in Azië (ik vermoed dan China) de trekker wordt overgehaald en Europa alleen nog maar kan reageren met een ongekende sell-off.
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Aalberts 466 7.098
AB InBev 2 5.525
Abionyx Pharma 2 29
Ablynx 43 13.356
ABN AMRO 1.582 51.880
ABO-Group 1 22
Acacia Pharma 9 24.692
Accell Group 151 4.132
Accentis 2 267
Accsys Technologies 23 10.777
ACCSYS TECHNOLOGIES PLC 218 11.686
Ackermans & van Haaren 1 192
ADMA Biologics 1 34
Adomos 1 126
AdUX 2 457
Adyen 14 17.768
Aedifica 3 924
Aegon 3.258 322.974
AFC Ajax 538 7.088
Affimed NV 2 6.298
ageas 5.844 109.897
Agfa-Gevaert 14 2.052
Ahold 3.538 74.343
Air France - KLM 1.025 35.225
AIRBUS 1 12
Airspray 511 1.258
Akka Technologies 1 18
AkzoNobel 467 13.046
Alfen 16 25.031
Allfunds Group 4 1.511
Almunda Professionals (vh Novisource) 651 4.251
Alpha Pro Tech 1 17
Alphabet Inc. 1 406
Altice 106 51.198
Alumexx ((Voorheen Phelix (voorheen Inverko)) 8.486 114.826
AM 228 684
Amarin Corporation 1 133
Amerikaanse aandelen 3.837 243.533
AMG 971 134.027
AMS 3 73
Amsterdam Commodities 305 6.740
AMT Holding 199 7.047
Anavex Life Sciences Corp 2 491
Antonov 22.632 153.605
Aperam 92 15.027
Apollo Alternative Assets 1 17
Apple 5 384
Arcadis 252 8.787
Arcelor Mittal 2.034 320.864
Archos 1 1
Arcona Property Fund 1 286
arGEN-X 17 10.336
Aroundtown SA 1 220
Arrowhead Research 5 9.749
Ascencio 1 28
ASIT biotech 2 697
ASMI 4.108 39.534
ASML 1.766 109.099
ASR Nederland 21 4.502
ATAI Life Sciences 1 7
Atenor Group 1 521
Athlon Group 121 176
Atrium European Real Estate 2 199
Auplata 1 55
Avantium 32 13.712
Axsome Therapeutics 1 177
Azelis Group 1 66
Azerion 7 3.412

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