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Handelshoek dmmsch Augustus

2.830 Posts
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  1. [verwijderd] 6 augustus 2015 22:04
    quote:

    I AM FAN schreef op 6 augustus 2015 21:45:

    wti .. nog niet helemaal af, wachten op de volgende candle.
    ok, candle is af, kans op ongeveer $1 vanaf hier $44.76. Als het meezit vannacht of morgenochtend.
  2. [verwijderd] 7 augustus 2015 07:52
    quote:

    Ssilverhaze schreef op 7 augustus 2015 00:20:

    charts.mql5.com/8/511/us30usd-h4-oand...

    Dow divergentie, ga long proberen
    Goedemorgen allemaal

    930e888ea91284a71b0e-62c980cafddf9881...

    The Next Two Months
    Posted on August 6, 2015 by Martin Armstrong

    The next two months going into September will be both interesting and critical. The NASDAQ Composite made new highs in July, but the S&P500 and the Dow Jones Industrials failed to exceed May highs. The general consensus is that there will be a rate hike in September and another in December, so if we back-off from this point we may see the share market react in anticipation to the downside. This would help send cash running into the short-term government paper, making that final peak in price (low in interest rates). Thereafter, we may see the ultimate confusion as stocks rise with rising interest rates, as they did between 1927 and 1929.

    Our Energy Models are turning negative on the NASDAQ weekly level. This indeed warns that we should be careful at this time. Keep in mind that this is going to be a very difficult period, for this is when we will see how worthless opinion becomes. What we are facing is something that has not emerged for nearly 300 years, so there is nobody alive who can offer an expert opinion. At this point, we will need the dispassionate analysis of Socrates to survive what is on the horizon.
  3. [verwijderd] 7 augustus 2015 07:54
    quote:

    blackstallion schreef op 7 augustus 2015 07:52:

    [...]

    Goedemorgen allemaal

    930e888ea91284a71b0e-62c980cafddf9881...

    The Next Two Months
    Posted on August 6, 2015 by Martin Armstrong

    The next two months going into September will be both interesting and critical. The NASDAQ Composite made new highs in July, but the S&P500 and the Dow Jones Industrials failed to exceed May highs. The general consensus is that there will be a rate hike in September and another in December, so if we back-off from this point we may see the share market react in anticipation to the downside. This would help send cash running into the short-term government paper, making that final peak in price (low in interest rates). Thereafter, we may see the ultimate confusion as stocks rise with rising interest rates, as they did between 1927 and 1929.

    Our Energy Models are turning negative on the NASDAQ weekly level. This indeed warns that we should be careful at this time. Keep in mind that this is going to be a very difficult period, for this is when we will see how worthless opinion becomes. What we are facing is something that has not emerged for nearly 300 years, so there is nobody alive who can offer an expert opinion. At this point, we will need the dispassionate analysis of Socrates to survive what is on the horizon.
    Correctie: ik bedoelde positieve divergentie.
  4. [verwijderd] 7 augustus 2015 08:47
    930e888ea91284a71b0e-62c980cafddf9881...

    Gold – Still Holding For Now
    Posted on August 5, 2015 by Martin Armstrong

    The trading range is defined by our Daily Bearish Reversals at 1080 below and 1109 above. The Energy Models are improving and a closing outside of this range will signal what we are getting into for September. Technical analysis on the monthly level for August stands at 1104, so the technicals are confirming the Reversals as well.

    So the jury is still out. Keep in mind that a reaction to the upside will be just short-covering and then a resumption of the decline.

    Hedging vs. Trading – What Really Makes the Low?
    Posted on August 5, 2015 by Martin Armstrong

    The lack of understanding with respect to market development is astonishing. The gold promoters desperately continue to argue that demand is somehow rising for physical coins, so somehow the prices are not real. At the bottom of markets, fresh buying NEVER causes the low — it is short-covering — END OF STORY.

    As we move into lower prices, mining companies are FORCED to sell gold forward (paper gold) to try to make ends meet. Their short positions will increase, going into the lows, and many will go bankrupt without real hedging models. They will lose a fortune and contribute to the short-cover rally that even took place back in the 1985 low. There was one gold promoter back then who was short at the low and lost everything in a matter of days. The founder of International Gold Bullion Exchange was sentenced to 10 years in prison for being short with no sense of how to hedge. That is why we developed both speculative and hedging models with entirely different goals.

    As commodities are getting killed, the smart companies are starting to wake up. I am off to Mumbai for an urgent meeting next week. Many are starting to realize you cannot trade on headlines or advice from banks who profit from the trade in a conflict of interest. Unbiased independence is the only way to survive.

  5. [verwijderd] 7 augustus 2015 09:15
    quote:

    IEXfan schreef op 7 augustus 2015 09:08:

    zoals altijd is de timing waarschijnlijk voor verbetering vatbaar, maar indien nodig neem ik 11480 ook nog mee...
    Succes houd mijn short aan tot minimaal 500,hopen op een breek en dan 480,als die er niet overtuigend doorheen gaat take pofit
  6. [verwijderd] 7 augustus 2015 09:19
    Goedemorgen,
    quote:

    Ssilverhaze & Disci schreef op 6 augustus 2015 16:56:

    @forstmann, zie je wat ik zie?

    charts.mql5.com/8/509/de30eur-d1-oand...

    &

    Geen exacte fibohit, zou Forstmann zeggen...
    Tijdje terug hadden we het toch over een 61.8% retracement die 2x wel werd gerespecteerd, maar niet de low was? Nou, als we die toch maar wel gebruiken, kwam de top gisteren uit op een EXACTE 50% extensie (goed dan, 1 puntje verschil). Nu dus op zoek naar een retracement van die beweging met een EXACTE fibohit, liefst een 61.8% :-D

    Mediumvioletred lijntjes voor extensie, oranje lijnen was de 61.8% retrace:
  7. [verwijderd] 7 augustus 2015 09:22
    Wat heb je als koersdoel 61.8 dan? Zie 11091 staan maar dat zal hem niet zijn of wel?

    Heb nog een kleine kater moet ik er bij vermelden, ben niet zo vlot.

    Zit ook long olie, wie weet een mooie bounce vandaag :-) disci?
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